Re: draft-azinger-cidrv6-00

[Fred Baker <fred@cisco.com>]

On Jul 22, 2010, at 4:09 AM, Tony Li wrote:

> Again, we are not claiming that this will be the growth rate.  We are simply pointing out the mathematical implications of a sustained 54% rate.  The number is not arbitrary in the least, it simply shows the implications of where we might be in 30 years.

Personally and speaking for myself, I don't see why the 54% growth rate would be sustained. Basically, you have a lot of folks that don't have an IPv6 prefix but that have an IPv4 prefix mirroring their IPv4 connectivity. I would expect IPv6 prefix growth to be similar to IPv4 prefix growth in the long haul, not to vastly outweigh it.